Regional Impacts of Productive Restructuring in Brazil Post-Crisis 2008: A dynamic shift-share analysis integrated with spatial SUR.
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.54766/rberu.v16i4.914Keywords:
Regional productivity per worker, Shift-Share Analysis, Seemingly Unrelated Regressions (SUR)Abstract
Faced with the imminent loss of dynamism that hit Brazilian industry after the 2008 crisis, the article assesses the extent to which regional productivity per worker has reacted to changes in industrial composition and to specific factors of regional competitiveness. To this end, an innovative method is presented that incorporates multisectoral shift-share decomposition to SUR regressions. The results revealed that technological changes induced by the industry-mix were not significant enough to reduce regional disparities, from 2007 to 2018. The absence of dynamism made room for productivity gains formed by specific factors, mainly related to natural advantages.
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